Austin entered 2026 with positive industrial demand and elevated new supply. Major brokerage reports agree on that direction, but their vacancy, construction, absorption, and asking-rent figures vary widely because each firm measures a different market.
The range is the finding. Combining the reports into one synthetic average would hide important differences in geography, building size, property type, owner-occupied inventory, flex inclusion, and timing.
Executive Summary
CBRE reported 385,000 square feet of positive net absorption, 360,000 square feet of deliveries, 6.1 million square feet under construction, and 3.2 million square feet of leasing activity. CBRE also said NNN asking rents declined $0.19 per square foot quarter over quarter.
Colliers reported 22.3% vacancy, 177,188 square feet of net absorption, 7.5 million square feet under construction, and a $12.97/SF comparable asking rent.
Cushman & Wakefield reported 22.9% vacancy, 158,590 square feet of net absorption, 4.5 million square feet under construction, and comparable asking rents of $11.51/SF for warehouse/distribution and $15.04/SF for office-service/flex.
Newmark reported 15.9% vacancy, 144,525 square feet of net absorption, a 12.1 million-square-foot pipeline, and a $14.48/SF comparable asking rent.
Partners Real Estate reported 15.7% vacancy, 122,998 square feet of net absorption, 13.2 million square feet under construction, and a $14.43/SF gross comparable asking rent.
Every per-square-foot figure in this report is third-party comparable-market data. None is a WareSpace asking or achieved rent.
Q1 2026 Austin Industrial Metrics
| Source | Vacancy | Net absorption | Under construction | Comparable-market asking rent |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE | Not stated in the page summary | 385,000 SF | 6.1M SF | Down $0.19/SF QoQ |
| Colliers | 22.3% | 177,188 SF | 7.5M SF | $12.97/SF |
| Cushman & Wakefield | 22.9% | 158,590 SF | 4.5M SF | $11.51/SF warehouse; $15.04/SF flex |
| Newmark | 15.9% | 144,525 SF | 12.1M SF | $14.48/SF |
| Partners Real Estate | 15.7% | 122,998 SF | 13.2M SF | $14.43/SF gross |
Why the Reports Disagree
Industrial market reports are not one standardized census. A firm may include or exclude:
- Owner-occupied buildings
- Flex and office-service properties
- Small-bay buildings
- Outlying submarkets
- Buildings below a minimum size
- New deliveries at different dates
- Sublease space or only direct vacancy
- Projects counted as under construction at different stages
The reports agree that Austin is working through a large supply cycle while demand remains positive. They disagree on the size of the measured market and therefore the exact rate.
Supply, Demand, and Tenant Leverage
Austin added substantial industrial inventory in recent years. In Q1 2026, positive absorption continued, but deliveries and construction kept availability high. Several sources described a more tenant-favorable or recalibrating market.
That does not mean every tenant has the same leverage. Building quality, size, submarket, use, loading, power, term, and the amount of ready-to-occupy space still matter. A business seeking 1,000 square feet is not shopping the same inventory as a logistics user seeking 100,000 square feet.
Austin’s Two WareSpace Buildings
South Austin and St. Elmo
WareSpace South Austin is coming soon at 210 East St. Elmo Road. City planning records describe St. Elmo as a longstanding commercial and industrial district, while the city’s later industrial-land analysis classifies it as a transition cluster experiencing land-use change.
That history creates a practical building-level question: whether the exact address, loading process, approved use, and southern-metro position fit the business. Do not substitute a neighborhood narrative or estimated travel time for those checks.
North Austin and The Domain
WareSpace The Domain, Austin is coming soon at 11209 Metric Blvd. The City identifies the site as Braker Center H, an office/warehouse complex within the broader North Burnet/Gateway regional-center context.
Use the North Austin warehouse neighborhoods guide and the Austin locations hub to compare the two sides of the metro without invented drive-time claims.
The Small-Bay Format Gap
Most brokerage statistics track conventional industrial buildings and large lease transactions. Most new construction also targets much larger users than a small business seeking 200 to 2,000+ sq ft.
A large metro vacancy number does not guarantee a right-sized unit with:
- An approved business use
- Loading access
- Year-round HVAC
- Commercial power and WiFi
- Secure entry
- Racking or shared equipment
- A short-term lease
- A complete cost the business can underwrite
The small warehouse rental guide for Austin explains how to compare those options.
What the Market Means by Business Type
Contractors and skilled trades
BLS reported 96,500 Austin-area mining, logging, and construction jobs in April 2026, up 5.0% year over year. A contractor needs secure tools and material staging, loading, approved use, access, and a base matched to the service territory. See the Austin contractor warehouse guide.
Ecommerce and product businesses
These operators need receiving, inventory control, packing, returns, and carrier staging. The Austin ecommerce warehouse guide focuses on the workflow rather than a generic square-foot target.
Inventory-sensitive businesses
Austin’s long, hot summers make HVAC important for people and many goods. Standard HVAC is not cold storage or product-specific environmental control. Read the Austin climate-controlled warehouse guide.
Cost-sensitive small businesses
Compare the complete occupancy bill rather than a listing rate. The Austin warehouse rental cost guide separates attributed market rents from NNN/CAM, utilities, equipment, deposits, and build-out.
Risks to Watch
- Brokerage methodologies produce materially different vacancy and pipeline figures.
- New deliveries may keep availability elevated while projects lease up.
- Much of the supply is too large for a small business.
- North Burnet/Gateway redevelopment can change the local mix over time.
- Per-square-foot market figures exclude much of the total operating cost.
- The Domain and South Austin opening dates, hours, inventory, and offers remain unverified.
2026 Outlook
Austin’s industrial market has more supply and tenant choice than the record-tight period, while positive absorption shows that demand has not disappeared. The near-term market is still working through a large construction cycle.
For a small business, the building-level decision matters more than a metro average. Choose the right size, approved use, operating features, total cost, and location for the actual workflow.
Compare both buildings on the Austin locations hub, or join the South Austin waitlist for verified updates.
Sources and Methodology
Figures are presented separately and are not averaged. All rents are labeled as third-party comparable-market data.
- CBRE Austin Industrial Figures Q1 2026
- Colliers Austin Industrial Market Report Q1 2026
- Cushman & Wakefield Austin Industrial MarketBeat Q1 2026
- Newmark Austin Industrial Market Report Q1 2026
- Partners Real Estate Austin Industrial Q1 2026
- City of Austin industrial land and zoning analysis
- City of Austin St. Elmo planning record
- City of Austin zoning review for 11209 Metric Boulevard
- City of Austin North Burnet/Gateway planning
- CapMetro Red Line improvements
- BLS Austin Area Economic Summary
- NWS Austin Climate Summary





